|Donald Trump Sunday in Iowa (AP photo)|
A poll released Saturday by The Des Moines Register gave Trump a 7-point lead in Iowa over Hillary Clinton, 46 percent to 39 percent. He referred to the poll almost immediately after taking the stage Sunday. He "sounded confident of winning the state. He also sounded a little bit nostalgic, recalling the day he came down on an escalator in June 2015 in New York City to announce his presidential bid to skeptical political reporters and others. Trump described himself as a political insider who became an outsider that day to help the working class," Tysver reports.
Iowa has a large rural population, but in recent years has supported Democratic presidential candidates, mostly in close contests. President Obama narrowly won the Hawkeye State in 2008 and 2012. President George W. Bush won it in 2004, but Democratic candidates won the state from 1988 to 2000. Trump, like many Republican candidates, has done well in rural areas; 36 percent of Iowa's population is rural, according to the Iowa Data Center.